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Is the Nancy Guthrie Case Getting Hopeless? Ex-FBI Agent "Almost Burst Into Tears"


Published: Mar 15, 2026 08:16 AM EDT
Photo Credit: savannahguthrie/Instagram
Photo Credit: savannahguthrie/Instagram

Six weeks after Nancy Guthrie vanished from her Tucson, Arizona home, the search for the 84-year-old mother of Today show anchor Savannah Guthrie has taken a heartbreaking turn - with even trained investigators now struggling to hold onto hope.

'I Could Just Almost Burst Into Tears'

During a recent interview with true crime specialist Brian Entin on his YouTube channel, former FBI agent Maureen O'Connell became visibly emotional when asked whether she still believed Nancy was alive. 

Her answer was devastating.

"Do I think she's alive now? I could just almost burst into tears because I was so hopeful for so long, but I think too much time has passed now. And I'm so sad about that," O'Connell said.

It marks a significant shift in tone from law enforcement experts who had previously maintained cautious optimism about Nancy's survival.

Savannah Has Already Prepared for the Worst

O'Connell's grief echoes what Savannah herself has already acknowledged publicly. In an emotional Instagram video where she raised the family's reward to $1 million, Savannah admitted the family understands Nancy may no longer be alive.

"We still believe in a miracle, we still believe that she can come home, hope against hope," Savannah said. "We also know that she may be lost. She may already be gone. She may have already gone home to the Lord that she loves and is dancing in Heaven with her mom and dad."

She closed the appeal with a plea that reflected both grief and determination: "Help us bring our beloved mom home, so that we can either celebrate a glorious, miraculous homecoming, or celebrate the beautiful, brave, courageous, and noble life that she has lived."

The DNA Problem Slowing Everything Down

Adding to the despair is a major forensic roadblock. A "mixed" DNA sample recovered from Nancy's home - containing genetic material from more than one person - has proven extremely difficult to process, with forensic expert CeCe Moore warning it could take "months or years" to analyze.

Moore, who has helped solve more than 300 cold cases using genetic genealogy, went further. She explained that investigators may literally be waiting for technology that does not yet exist, saying the software needed to separate the mixed DNA sample is not currently available to the FBI or DNA Labs International. 

What Investigators Still Have

Despite the emotional and forensic setbacks, the case is far from closed. Surveillance footage released by the FBI shows a masked male suspect approximately 5'9" to 5'10" tall carrying a black Ozark Trail backpack at Nancy's front door. Legal expert Chad D. Cummings noted the suspect appeared to have controlled the situation before Nancy could fully wake - which is why no neighbors reported hearing a disturbance the night she disappeared.

The family's reward currently stands at $1 million, with the FBI offering an additional $202,500 for information leading to Nancy's recovery.

Tip Line: 1-800-CALL-FBI

Nancy Guthrie is a woman of deep faith - her family has repeatedly described her devotion to God and her church community. For the millions following this case, she remains in prayer. As Savannah said herself, her mother may already be "dancing in Heaven" - but her family needs to know.